Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12573/395
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Article Citation - Scopus: 24Transition Towards the Sustainable Development: Unraveling the Effects of Mineral Markets, Belt & Road Initiative, and the Paris Agreement on Green Economic Growth(Elsevier Ltd, 2024-04) Xia, Xiqiang; Chishti, Muhammad Zubair; Dogan, EyupThe Agenda 2030 strongly emphasizes implementing effective and equitable measures to address the urgent challenge of global warming, primarily driven by unsustainable fossil-fuel combustion, and one of its core focuses is Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) – 8, among others. In light of this, the recent article aims to explore the dynamic nexus between minerals (MNR), the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), the Paris Agreement (PA), green technologies (GT), and green growth, with a specific focus on developing a policy framework for advancing SDG – 8. The study utilizes daily data and advanced econometric tools such as QVAR, Cross-quantileogram, and wavelet-quantile correlation to examine the diverse effects of these factors on green growth across various time horizons. The short-run analysis reveals that MNR, BRI, and GT discourage green growth under most market conditions, except for a few quantiles that exhibit positive or insignificant relationships. In the medium run, impacts are mixed, with both positive and negative effects observed. However, in the long run, MNR, BRI, and GT consistently demonstrate favorable effects on green growth. For PA, short and medium-run effects are mixed, but medium-run results indicate a predominantly positive impact on green growth. In the long run, PA significantly benefits green growth across the majority of market conditions. Overall, the diversified results suggest that minerals, BRI, the Paris Agreement, and green technologies play a crucial role in stimulating green growth to achieve SDG - 8 in the long term. © 2024 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 4Citation - Scopus: 4Parameter Uncertainties in Evaluating Climate Policies with Dynamic Integrated Climate-Economy Model(Springer Nature, 2023-05-04) Sutcu, MuhammedClimate change is a complex issue with significant scientific and socio-economic uncertainties, making it difficult to assess the effectiveness of climate policies. Dynamic Integrated Climate-Economy Models (DICE models) have been widely used to evaluate the impact of different climate policies. However, since climate change, long-term economic development, and their interactions are highly uncertain, an accurate assessment of investments in climate change mitigation requires appropriate consideration of climatic and economic uncertainties. Moreover, the results of these models are highly dependent on input parameters and assumptions, which can have significant uncertainties. To accurately assess the impact of climate policies, it is crucial to incorporate uncertainties into these models. In this paper, we explore the impact of parameter uncertainties on the evaluation of climate policies using DICE models. Our goal is to understand whether uncertainty significantly affects decision-making, particularly in global warming policy decisions. By integrating climatic and economic uncertainties into the DICE model, we seek to identify the cumulative impact of uncertainty on climate change. Overall, this paper aims to contribute to a better understanding of the challenges associated with evaluating climate policies using DICE models, and to inform the development of more effective policy measures to address the urgent challenge of climate change.
