Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12573/395
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Conference Object Citation - WoS: 1Citation - Scopus: 8Short Term Electricity Load Forecasting: A Case Study of Electric Utility Market in Turkey(Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2015-04) Ishik, Muhammed Yasin; Göze, Tolga; Ozcan, Ihsan; Güngör, Vehbi Çağrı; Aydin, Zafer; Yasin, MuhammedWith the recent developments in energy sector, the pricing of electricity is now governed by the spot market where a variety of market mechanisms are effective. After the new legislation of market liberalization in Turkey, competition-based on hourly price has received a growing interest in the energy market, which necessitated generators and electric utility companies to add new dimensions to their scope of operation: short-term load and price forecasting. The field has several opportunities though not free from challenges. The dynamic behavior of the market price has caused the electric load to become variable and non-stationary. Furthermore, the number of nodes, in which the load must be predicted, is not constant anymore and can no longer be estimated by experts alone. In this competitive scenario, statistical forecasting methods that can automatically and accurately process thousands of data samples are essential. The purpose of this study is to demonstrate the importance of short-term load forecasting, how it has received a growing interest in Turkey and to propose an artificial neural network that can forecast the short term electricity load. Through detailed performance evaluations, we demonstrate that our forecasting method is capable of predicting the hourly load accurately. © 2017 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.Conference Object Citation - WoS: 7Citation - Scopus: 10PI-Controlled ANN-Based Energy Consumption Forecasting for Smart Grids(SciTePress, 2015) Gezer, Gülsüm; Tuna, Gürkan; Κogias, DImitrios G.; Gülez, Kayhan; Güngör, Vehbi Çağrı; Kogias, DimitrisAlthough Smart Grid (SG) transformation brings many advantages to electric utilities, the longstanding challenge for all them is to supply electricity at the lowest cost. In addition, currently, the electric utilities must comply with new expectations for their operations, and address new challenges such as energy efficiency regulations and guidelines, possibility of economic recessions, volatility of fuel prices, new user profiles and demands of regulators. In order to meet all these emerging economic and regulatory realities, the electric utilities operating SGs must be able to determine and meet load, implement new technologies that can effect energy sales and interact with their customers for their purchases of electricity. In this respect, load forecasting which has traditionally been done mostly at city or country level can address such issues vital to the electric utilities. In this paper, an artificial neural network based energy consumption forecasting system is proposed and the efficiency of the proposed system is shown with the results of a set of simulation studies. The proposed system can provide valuable inputs to smart grid applications. © 2022 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.Conference Object Modelling of Rock Comminution Using Statistical and Soft Computing Analyses – A Case Study on a Laboratory-Scale Jaw Crusher(Baski, 2022) Köken, E.The present study encompasses a quantitative investigation on rock comminution using statistical and soft computing analyses. For this purpose, physical and mechanical rock aggregate properties were determined for nine different rock types (R1-R9) in Turkey. Then, crushability tests were performed to determine the size reduction ratio (SRR) using a laboratory-scale jaw crusher. Based on statistical and soft computing analyses, five different predictive models (M1 to M5) were established to estimate the SRR in this study. Consequently, the SRR values are associated with water absorption by weight (w<inf>a</inf>), dry unit weight (γ<inf>d</inf>), and aggregate impact value (AIV) of the investigated rocks. However, the individual use of these independent variables results in undulating SRR estimations. Therefore, among the established predictive models, the empirical formulation based on artificial neural networks (ANN) (M5) was found to be the most reliable model with a correlation of determination value (R2) of 0.88. However, the predictive models stated in this study should be implemented to several portable jaw crushers to observe the similarities or difficulties in quantifying SRR as a function of rock properties in future studies. © 2022 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.Book Part Hosting Capacity Calculation Methods(Elsevier, 2025) Oguzhan, Ceylan; Alper, SavasciIn this chapter, we focus on hosting capacity (HC) calculations, by giving the methods to determine the maximum amount of distributed energy resources (DER) that can be integrated into power distribution network(s) without compromising reliability or performance. We detail methodologies such as power flow-based approaches, probabilistic techniques, and machine learning algorithms, with sample applications of HC calculations. Initially, we focus on power flow-based methods based on simulating power distribution network(s) to assess system voltage, current flow, and stability impacts from DER installations. Then, we will give the probabilistic approaches that use uncertainties in renewable generation and consumer demand, based on statistical techniques and Monte Carlo simulations aiming to reflect these variability. Machine learning (ML) techniques will also be given based on analyzing large data sets, detecting patterns, and predicting system responses. These kinds of methods include regression analysis and neural networks trained on historical data for optimized HC predictions. It should be stated that HC is impacted by several factors, such as network topology, load profiles, and DER characteristics, and these as well will be discussed. We will provide a practical example of an HC calculation on a 141-node distribution network using a step-by-step algorithm in Matpower, with simulation results based on an iterative deterministic method. Then, we will give the broader implications of HC assessments for grid modernization and energy policy, highlighting how accurate calculations support a more decentralized, sustainable, and resilient energy future. © 2025 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.Conference Object Citation - Scopus: 5Development of Knowledge Based Response Correction for a Reconfigurable N-Shaped Microstrip Antenna Design(Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2015-08) Aoad, Ashrf; Simsek, Murat; Aydin, ZaferThis study presents the use of prior knowledge of inverse artificial neural network (ANN) to model and optimize a reconfigurable N-shaped microstrip antenna. Three accurate prior knowledge inverse ANNs with large amount training data are proposed where the frequency information is incorporated into the structure of ANN. The complexity of the input/output relationship is reduced by using prior knowledge. Three separate methods of incorporating knowledge in the second step of the training process with a multilayer perceptron (MLP) in the first step are demonstrated and their results are compared to EM simulation. © 2023 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
