Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12573/395
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Article Citation - WoS: 39Citation - Scopus: 38Analyzing the Nexus of COVID-19 and Natural Resources and Commodities: Evidence From Time-Varying Causality(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2022-08) Dogan, Eyup; Majeed, Muhammad Tariq; Luni, TaniaEven though a few studies have focused on natural resources and commodity sectors by considering the pandemic, they have only compared their status in pre-COVID19 to post-COVID19. None of the studies has directly examined the causal relationship between the pandemic, and natural resource index and the primary commodity-related sector indices. This study fills the gap of exploring the dynamic association between them by analyzing the causal relationship between the COVID19, and natural resources index and the primary commodity-related sectors (i.e., agribusiness, energy, and metals & mining) by applying a novel time-varying causality test on daily data from January 23, 2020, to November 12, 2021. The empirical results support the presence of time-varying causality from COVID19 to natural resources, agribusiness, energy and metals & mining. The results obtained from the rolling window algorithm support causal linkages between the variables however at several points it fails to capture the dynamics of linkages between the variables which is captured by the recursive window algorithm. The outcome is robust when the pandemic is proxied by either number of cases or deaths. Similarly, the findings obtained from heteroskedastic-robust specification also validate our findings. Several policy implications are further discussed in the study.Article Citation - WoS: 177Citation - Scopus: 196Analyzing the Impacts of Geopolitical Risk and Economic Uncertainty on Natural Resources Rents(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2021-08) Dogan, Eyup; Majeed, Muhammad Tariq; Luni, TaniaThe determinants of natural resources rents have been extensively analyzed in the resources economics and policy literature; however, the role of geopolitical risk and uncertainty in rents remains unexplored. Given that these indicators are rather volatile and thus important to discover for developing countries which own a large portion of natural resources in the world, this study aims to examine the effects of geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty on natural resources rents in a group of developing economies by applying the novel panel quantile estimation technique on the panel data over 1985-2018. The empirical results suggest that geopolitical risk has a negative impact on the natural resources rents for all quantiles while economic growth increases natural resources rents across middle-and-high quantiles. In contrast, the influence of economic policy uncertainty on resources rents varies across the quantiles. The uncertainty increases natural resources rents in low quantiles and decreases rents in high quantiles. Thus, quantile regression results reveal heterogeneous impacts of the selected main determinants of natural resources rents. Important policy implications are further discussed in the study.