Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12573/395
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Article Measuring Disaster Resilience in MENA Countries and Its Impact on Disaster Losses(Nature Portfolio, 2025-12-08) Demir, Abdullah; Dincer, Ali Ersin; Dincer, Nazire NergizDisaster resilience is a protective feature aimed at reducing the effects of natural disaster events and losses resulting from these events. This study develops a Disaster Resilience Index (DRI) for MENA countries to assess resilience across ten dimensions, including economic, social, institutional, infrastructural, and environmental factors. Unlike most prior studies, which focus on individual countries or use narrower sets of indicators, this study provides a multi-country, region-specific framework tailored to MENA's socio-economic and environmental heterogeneity. The index integrates geospatial data on disaster risk from geographic information systems (GIS) and a natural hazard risk dimension. Validation using disaster-related fatalities, supported by a dual PCA-based sensitivity analysis, confirms the robustness of the DRI and reveals that countries with stronger governance, higher human capital, and robust infrastructure tend to exhibit greater resilience, while fragile states and resource-dependent economies are more vulnerable. Notably, the DRI calculated using both dimension-specific and all-indicator PCA produces closely aligned values, indicating the choice of conducting PCA at the dimension level does not significantly alter the overall assessment of disaster resilience. These insights provide a foundation for targeted disaster risk reduction strategies and highlight areas where international cooperation and policy interventions can strengthen resilience in the region.Article Citation - WoS: 29Citation - Scopus: 32Wind Farm Site Selection Using GIS-Based Multicriteria Analysis With Life Cycle Assessment Integration(Springer Heidelberg, 2024-01-19) Demir, Abdullah; Dincer, Ali Ersin; Ciftci, Cihan; Gulcimen, Sedat; Uzal, Nigmet; Yilmaz, KutayThe sustainability of wind power plants depends on the selection of suitable installation locations, which should consider not only economic and technical factors including manufacturing and raw materials, but also issues pertaining to the environment. In the present study, a novel methodology is proposed to determine the suitable locations for wind turbine farms by analyzing from the environmental perspective. In the methodology, the life cycle assessment (LCA) of wind turbines is incorporated into the decision process. The criteria are ranked using analytical hierarchy process (AHP). The study area is chosen as the western region of Turkiye. The obtained suitability map reveals that wind speed is not the sole criterion for selecting a site for wind turbine farms; other factors, such as bird migration paths, distance from urban areas and land use, are also crucial. The results also reveal that constructing wind power plants in the vicinity of Izmir, canakkale, Istanbul, and Balikesir in Turkiye can lead to a reduction in emissions. Izmir and its surrounding area show the best environmental performance with the lowest CO2 per kilowatt-hour (7.14 g CO2 eq/kWh), to install a wind turbine due to its proximity to the harbor and steel factory across the study area. canakkale and the northwest region of Turkiye, despite having high wind speeds, are less environmentally favorable than Izmir, Balikesir, and Istanbul. The findings of LCA reveal that the nacelle and rotor components of the wind turbine contribute significantly (43-97%) to the environmental impact categories studied, while the tower component (0-36%) also has an impact.Article Citation - WoS: 18Citation - Scopus: 20A Novel Procedure for the AHP Method for the Site Selection of Solar PV Farms(Wiley, 2024-01) Demir, Abdullah; Dincer, A. Ersin; Yilmaz, KutayThis study proposes a novel approach to enhance the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) for the selection of suitable sites for solar photovoltaic (PV) farms. This approach is particularly beneficial when it is possible to establish a predefined objective relation in the final weights of the AHP method. The methodology focuses on achieving this predefined relation introducing a systematic revision of the constants of related constraints. In this study, the costs of constructing a unit transmission line and road in the Kayseri Province are objectively related, and the initial constant matrix of the AHP method is iteratively revised until the relation of the final weights converges to the predefined one. The suitability of solar PV farm locations is classified into five classes, revealing approximately 28% (40-100% of suitability) of the province as favorably suitable and designating about 67% as restricted zones. The findings reveal notable distinctions between the revised weights and those derived from the conventional AHP method. The disparity in weights for various constraints varies from 13.5% to 7.2%. Consequently, the alterations in the area of suitability regions range from 3.4% to 50%. The revision of AHP weights results in a reduction in higher-suitability areas, coupled with a significant expansion in the region exhibiting lower suitability. Notably, the extent of change in the suitability map increases when the difference in ratios between two criteria obtained from the AHP and the predefined objective relation is high. The proposed method demonstrates its applicability in regions like Kayseri where an objective relation between criteria can be established. Given the inherent subjectivity of the AHP method, the proposed procedure becomes essential to attain more objective weights. Since the methodology objectively adjusts weights based on known ratios, it increases the accuracy and reliability of site selection studies.Article Citation - WoS: 62Citation - Scopus: 63A Novel Method for the Site Selection of Large-Scale PV Farms by Using AHP and GIS: A Case Study in Izmir, Turkiye(Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd, 2023-07) Demir, Abdullah; Dincer, Ali Ersin; Yilmaz, KutayEffective and sustainable climate-friendly policies to reduce carbon dioxide emissions in line with the 2020 European Green Deal are necessary. Accordingly, renewable energies assumed a critical role, rendering the site selection of these systems very crucial. The present study proposes a novel approach to the site selection of large-scale photovoltaic (PV) plants using a combination of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and geographic infor-mation system (GIS). In the study, the weights of criteria used for selecting solar PV panels are adjusted according to the installed capacity of the PV plant. The land of cost is included as a criterion in the AHP for the first time in PV plant site selection. Besides, a novel method called optimality-based site growing (OBSG) is introduced to further analyze the suitable sites obtained from GIS simulations and to determine the most suitable locations of PV farms. The proposed method is demonstrated with a case study of Turkiye, and the results show that the method effectively determines the most suitable locations for large-scale PV plants.Article Citation - WoS: 3Citation - Scopus: 3A Cleaner Demolition Scheduling Methodology Considering Dust Dispersion: A Case Study for a Post-Earthquake Region(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2024-11) Dincer, Ali Ersin; Demir, Abdullah; Dilmen, OmerIn the present century, pollution is a primary concern for billions, prompting governments to advocate cleaner ways of production. Demolition activity is often an indispensable solution for structures that have completed their economic life. However, there are no regulations for the scheduling of demolition, except those related to the method of demolition and ensuring worker safety. Older buildings incorporate hazardous materials, such as asbestos, silica, and lead. These materials not only carry inherent risks, but high levels of aerosols in the air also adversely affect health. In this study, a demolition scheduling method is proposed, considering the dust dispersion. This research is pioneering, providing a structured demolition schedule to minimize the impact on both humans and the environment. In the methodology, a dispersion model is used to calculate the region exposed to dust and the concentration distribution throughout that area. In addition to the dust effect map, a vulnerability map is created using Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), aiding in determining interrelations between vulnerable sites. Thus, the dust effect map is derived by considering both dust exposure and the vulnerability map. The region affected by dust and the concentration of dust vary based on wind characteristics. By knowing the dust effect maps for the site (or all subsites) during specified time periods, a schedule can be defined. As a case study, schedules causing the absolute minimum and optimum dust effect rates are established for Kahramanmaras,, , , T & uuml;rkiye which recently experienced a devastating earthquake. The findings of the case study show that the dust effect on humans and the environment is significantly reduced. Consequently, by adhering to the proposed scheduling plan, human exposure to demolition dust is minimized, resulting in reduced medical expenses even without increasing the cost of the demolition.
