Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12573/395
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Article A Machine-Learning-Based Multi-Hazard GIS-AHP Framework for Wind Turbine Siting under Earthquake–Landslide Coupling(IOP Publishing Ltd, 2026) Dinçer, Ali Ersin; Demir, Abdullah; Öztürk, Şevki; Kalpakcı, Volkan; Dilmen, ÖmerThis study presents a machine-learning-based multi-hazard geographical information system (GIS)-analytical hierarchy process (AHP) framework for wind turbine siting that explicitly accounts for the coupled effects of earthquake and landslide hazards. The primary innovation lies in the development of a conditional weighting algorithm that integrates machine-learning-derived hazard assessments with structural engineering logic. Landslide susceptibility is first modeled using a random forest classifier trained on a comprehensive inventory of historical landslide data and 12 geo-environmental conditioning factors, producing a high-resolution susceptibility map with excellent predictive performance (AUC = 0.86). Feature importance analysis indicates that slope, hydrological indices, and geological conditions are the dominant controls on landslide occurrence. This data-driven map is then integrated with earthquake hazard zones and additional environmental and technical constraints within a GIS-AHP framework to generate a comprehensive wind turbine suitability assessment. Results show that explicitly accounting for earthquake-landslide coupling leads to a nearly 20% reduction in high and very high suitability areas, accompanied by an expansion of low and moderate suitability zones, highlighting the limitations of single-hazard planning approaches. The main contribution of this study lies in advancing renewable energy planning through the explicit integration of interdependent natural hazards, demonstrating how earthquake-resistant foundation strategies can simultaneously mitigate landslide risks.Article Measuring Disaster Resilience in MENA Countries and Its Impact on Disaster Losses(Nature Portfolio, 2025-12-08) Demir, Abdullah; Dincer, Ali Ersin; Dincer, Nazire NergizDisaster resilience is a protective feature aimed at reducing the effects of natural disaster events and losses resulting from these events. This study develops a Disaster Resilience Index (DRI) for MENA countries to assess resilience across ten dimensions, including economic, social, institutional, infrastructural, and environmental factors. Unlike most prior studies, which focus on individual countries or use narrower sets of indicators, this study provides a multi-country, region-specific framework tailored to MENA's socio-economic and environmental heterogeneity. The index integrates geospatial data on disaster risk from geographic information systems (GIS) and a natural hazard risk dimension. Validation using disaster-related fatalities, supported by a dual PCA-based sensitivity analysis, confirms the robustness of the DRI and reveals that countries with stronger governance, higher human capital, and robust infrastructure tend to exhibit greater resilience, while fragile states and resource-dependent economies are more vulnerable. Notably, the DRI calculated using both dimension-specific and all-indicator PCA produces closely aligned values, indicating the choice of conducting PCA at the dimension level does not significantly alter the overall assessment of disaster resilience. These insights provide a foundation for targeted disaster risk reduction strategies and highlight areas where international cooperation and policy interventions can strengthen resilience in the region.Article Citation - WoS: 20Citation - Scopus: 21Comparative Analysis of Hybrid Geothermal-Solar Systems and Solar PV With Battery Storage: Site Suitability, Emissions, and Economic Performance(Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd, 2025-01) Fedakar, Halil Ibrahim; Dincer, Ali Ersin; Demir, AbdullahRenewable energy integration has become a critical focus in the global effort to reduce carbon emissions and diversify energy sources. In regions with distinct geographic features, such as Turkiye, combining different renewable technologies can offer enhanced energy security. This study investigates the site suitability and economic and environmental performance of hybrid geothermal-solar systems and solar PV systems with battery storage across the provinces of Osmaniye, Hatay, and Kilis, of Turkiye. Using the fuzzy-AHP method, site suitability is evaluated, addressing a key gap in comparing these systems' adaptability to varying geographic conditions. This study is the first to directly compare these two renewable energy technologies in terms of site suitability. The findings reveal significant differences in site suitability, with solar PV systems with battery storage demonstrating broader applicability across the region. The suitable sites (20-100 % suitability) cover 1260.82 km(2) for solar PV systems with battery storage and only 122.18 km(2) for hybrid geothermal-solar systems. In terms of environmental impact, hybrid geothermal-solar systems exhibit significantly lower carbon emissions, averaging 44.6 kg CO2/MWh, compared to 123.8 kg CO2/MWh for solar PV systems with battery storage. Economically, hybrid geothermal-solar systems also outperform with a lower levelized cost of electricity of $0.091 kWh versus $0.254 kWh for solar PV systems. These results highlight the environmental and economic advantages of hybrid geothermal-solar systems, while also emphasizing their limited scalability to regions with geothermal activity. Conversely, solar PV systems, despite their higher emissions and costs, offer greater flexibility and potential for widespread deployment.Article Citation - WoS: 1Citation - Scopus: 1A Sustainable Decision-Making Framework to Evaluate Land and Seaside Disposal Options for Tunnel Spoil: A Case Study of Trabzon(Science Press, 2025-05) Dincer, Ali Ersin; Demir, Abdullah; Ozturk, Sevki; Yilmaz, KutaySustainable urbanization is essential for developing cities. To ensure the success of planned construction projects, designers must prioritize sustainability by lowering emissions and reducing costs. Tunnel projects are common worldwide, but disposing of the excavated material presents a significant challenge due to unsuitable geographic conditions. While coastal cities with mountainous terrains have historically used spoil for sea filling, this study offers alternative landside options to promote sustainability. By using a conventional analytical hierarchy process (AHP) method for multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM), the study evaluates land use, sustainability, slope, and drainage lines as constraints for the AHP method. The transportation-related greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are also considered to reduce environmental damage. Particle swarm optimization is used to determine the minimum transportation distance from the excavation zone to the dumpsite. As a sub-criteria of land use, the seaside is also considered a dumpsite compared with other options on the land side. The spatial analysis results of the case study show that suitable landside sites are available for the Trabzon tunneling project. Although coastal areas in Trabzon have been used for spoil dumping for filling purposes in the past, landside deposition is a viable alternative. The suitability ranks of land and coastal filling options are relatively similar, and selecting the seaside as the dumpsite for the Trabzon tunneling project reduces CO2 emissions. By adopting sustainable practices, we can realize a better future for our cities and the environment.