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Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu

Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12573/395

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Author: search.filters.author.Aydin, ZaferSubject: search.filters.subject.Forecasting

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Now showing 1 - 5 of 5
  • Conference Object
    Citation - WoS: 1
    Citation - Scopus: 8
    Short Term Electricity Load Forecasting: A Case Study of Electric Utility Market in Turkey
    (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2015-04) Ishik, Muhammed Yasin; Göze, Tolga; Ozcan, Ihsan; Güngör, Vehbi Çağrı; Aydin, Zafer; Yasin, Muhammed
    With the recent developments in energy sector, the pricing of electricity is now governed by the spot market where a variety of market mechanisms are effective. After the new legislation of market liberalization in Turkey, competition-based on hourly price has received a growing interest in the energy market, which necessitated generators and electric utility companies to add new dimensions to their scope of operation: short-term load and price forecasting. The field has several opportunities though not free from challenges. The dynamic behavior of the market price has caused the electric load to become variable and non-stationary. Furthermore, the number of nodes, in which the load must be predicted, is not constant anymore and can no longer be estimated by experts alone. In this competitive scenario, statistical forecasting methods that can automatically and accurately process thousands of data samples are essential. The purpose of this study is to demonstrate the importance of short-term load forecasting, how it has received a growing interest in Turkey and to propose an artificial neural network that can forecast the short term electricity load. Through detailed performance evaluations, we demonstrate that our forecasting method is capable of predicting the hourly load accurately. © 2017 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
  • Book Part
    Citation - Scopus: 3
    ROSE: A Novel Approach for Protein Secondary Structure Prediction
    (Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2021) Görmez, Yasin; Aydin, Zafer
    Three-dimensional structure of protein gives important information about protein’s function. Since it is time-consuming and costly to find the structure of protein by experimental methods, estimation of three-dimensional structures of proteins through computational methods has been an efficient alternative. One of the most important steps for the 3-D protein structure prediction is protein secondary structure prediction. Proteins which contain different number and sequences of amino acids may have similar structures. Thus, extracting appropriate input features has crucial importance for secondary structure prediction. In this study, a novel model, ROSE, is proposed for secondary structure prediction that obtains probability distributions as a feature vector by using two position specific scoring matrices obtained by PSIBLAST and HHblits. ROSE is a two-stage hybrid classifier that uses a one-dimensional bi-directional recurrent neural network at the first stage and a support vector machine at the second stage. It is also combined with DSPRED method, which employs dynamic Bayesian networks and a support vector machine. ROSE obtained comparable results to DSPRED in cross-validation experiments performed on a difficult benchmark and can be used as an alternative to protein secondary structure prediction. © 2021 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
  • Conference Object
    Citation - Scopus: 8
    Constructing Structural Profiles for Protein Torsion Angle Prediction
    (SciTePress, 2015) Aydin, Zafer; Baker, David A.; Noble, William Stafford
    Structural frequency profiles provide important constraints on structural aspects of a protein and is receiving a growing interest in the structure prediction community. In this paper, we introduce new techniques for scoring templates that are later combined to form structural profiles of 7-state torsion angles. By employing various parameters of target-template alignments we improve the quality and accuracy of structural profiles considerably. The most effective technique is the scaling of templates by integer powers of sequence identity score in which the power parameter is adjusted with respect to the similarity interval of the target. Incorporating other alignment scores as multiplicative factors further improves the accuracy of profiles. After analyzing the individual strengths of various structural profile methods, we combine them with ab-initio predictions of 7-state torsion angles by a linear committee approach. We show that incorporating template information improves the accuracy of ab-initio predictions significantly at all levels of target-template similarity even when templates are distant from the target. Template scaling methods developed in this work can be applied in many other prediction tasks and in more advanced methods designed for computing structural profiles. © 2020 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
  • Conference Object
    Citation - Scopus: 1
    Protein İkincil Yapı Tahmini için NR ve UniClust Veri Tabanlarının Karşılaştırılması
    (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2018-05) Aydin, Zafer; Kaynar, Oǧuz; Görmez, Yasin
    Three-dimensional structure prediction is one of the important problems in bioinformatics and theoretical chemistry. One of the most important steps in the three-dimensional structure prediction is the estimation of secondary structure. Improving the accuracy rate in protein secondary structure prediction depends on computed attributes as well as the classification algorithms. In multiple alignment methods, which are often used to extract an attribute, the calculated values differ according to the database used for the alignment. For this reason, it is important to use a suitable database against which the target proteins are aligned to compute profile feature vectors. In this study, 5 different datasets are generated for the CB513 benchmark with the aid of two different alignment methods and three different databases. The profile features are fed as input to a two-stage hybrid classifier. According to the experimental results, the highest accuracy rate is obtained when UniClust database is used at the first stage of HHBlits alignment to calculate PSSM values and NR database is used at the first stage of HHBlits alignment to calculate structural profile matrices. © 2018 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
  • Conference Object
    Citation - Scopus: 3
    Protein İkincil Yapı Tahmini Için Makine Öǧrenmesi Yöntemlerinin Karşılaştırılması
    (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2018-05) Aydin, Zafer; Kaynar, Oǧuz; Görmez, Yasin; Işik, Yunus Emre
    Three-dimensional structure prediction is one of the important problems in bioinformatics and theoretical chemistry. One of the most important steps in the three-dimensional structure prediction is the estimation of secondary structure. Due to rapidly growing databases and recent feature extraction methods datasets used for predicting secondary structure can potentially contain a large number of samples and dimensions. For this reason, it is important to use algorithms that are fast and accurate. In this study, various classification algorithms have been optimized for the second phase of a two-stage classifier on EVAset benchmark both in the original input space and in the space reduced using the information gain metric. The most accurate classifier is obtained as the support vector machine while the extreme learning machine is significantly faster in model training. © 2018 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.