TR-Dizin İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12573/396
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Article Forecasting the Consumer Price Index in Türkiye Using Machine Learning Models: A Comparative Analysis(Gazi Univ, 2025-09-01) Söylemez, İsmet; Ünlü, Ramazan; Nalici, Mehmet ErenThis study utilizes machine learning models to forecast Türkiye's Consumer Price Index (CPI), thereby addressing a critical gap in inflation prediction methodologies. The central research problem involves the forecasting of CPI in a volatile economic environment, which is essential for informed policymaking. The primary objective of this study is to evaluate the performance of three machine learning models, such as Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), and Support Vector Machine (SVM), in forecasting CPI over periods ranging from one to six months, utilizing data from 2012 to 2024. The study's unique contribution lies in the application of the \"SelectKBest\" method, which identifies the most relevant indices, thereby enhancing the efficiency of the models. An ensemble method, Averaging Voting, is also employed to combine the strengths of these models, producing more accurate and robust predictions. The findings indicate that while the RF model consistently generates the most accurate forecasts across all shifts, the SVM model demonstrates a particular strength in the domain of short-term predictions. The ensemble model demonstrates a substantial performance improvement, with a R2 value of 0.962 for one-month ahead of estimates and 0.956 for five-month forecasts. This combined approach has been shown to outperform individual models, offering a more reliable framework for CPI forecasting. The findings offer valuable insights for economic policymakers, enabling more precise and stable inflation predictions in Türkiye.Article Citation - WoS: 2Machine Learning Based Network Intrusion Detection With Hybrid Frequent Item Set Mining(Gazi Univ, 2024-10-02) Firat, Murat; Bakal, Gokhan; Akbas, Ayhan; Bakal, MehmetWith the development and expansion of computer networks day by day and the diversity of software developed, the damage that possible attacks can cause is increasing beyond the predictions. Intrusion Detection Systems (STS/IDS) are one of the practical defense tools against these potential attacks that are constantly growing and diversifying. Thus, one of the emerging methods among researchers is to train these systems with various artificial intelligence methods to detect subsequent attacks in real time and take the necessary precautions. However, the ultimate goal is to propose a hybrid feature selection approach to improve the classification performance. The raw dataset originally enclosed 85 descriptor features (attributes) for classification. These attributes are extracted using CICFlowMeter from a PCAP file where network traffic is recorded for data curation. In this study, classical feature selection methods and frequent item set mining approaches were employed in feature selection for constructing a hybrid model. We aimed to examine the effect of the proposed hybrid feature selection approach on the classification task for the network traffic data containing ordinary and attack records. The outcomes demonstrate that the proposed method gained nearly 3% improvement when applied with the Logistic Regression algorithm on classifying more than 225,000 records.