Ekonomi Bölümü Koleksiyonu

Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12573/410

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Now showing 1 - 3 of 3

Citation - WoS: 16
Citation - Scopus: 18
Assessing the Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic in Turkey With a Novel Economic Uncertainty Index
(Emerald Group Publishing Ltd, 2021) Mugaloglu, Erhan; Polat, Ali Yavuz; Tekin, Hasan; Kilic, Edanur; 0000-0001-5362-6259; AGÜ, Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, Ekonomi Bölümü; Mugaloglu, Erhan; 01. Abdullah Gül University
Purpose This study aims to measure economic uncertainty in Turkey by a novel economic uncertainty index (EUI) employing principal component analysis (PCA). We assess the impact of Covid-19 pandemic in Turkey with our constructed uncertainty index. Design/methodology/approach In order to obtain the EUI, this study employs a dimension reduction method of PCA using 14 macroeconomic indicators that spans from January 2011 to July 2020. The first principal component is picked as a proxy for the economic uncertainty in Turkey which explains 52% of total variation in entire sample. In the second part of our analysis, with our constructed EUI we conduct a structural vector autoregressions (SVAR) analysis simulating the Covid-19-induced uncertainty shock to the real economy. Findings Our EUI sensitively detects important economic/political events in Turkey as well as Covid-19-induced uncertainty rising to extremely high levels during the outbreak. Our SVAR results imply a significant decline in economic activity and in the sub-indices as well. Namely, industrial production drops immediately by 8.2% and cumulative loss over 8 months will be 15% on average. The losses in the capital and intermediate goods are estimated to be 18 and 25% respectively. Forecast error variance decomposition results imply that uncertainty shocks preserve its explanatory power in the long run, and intermediate goods production is more vulnerable to uncertainty shocks than overall industrial production and capital goods production. Practical implications The results indicate that monetary and fiscal policy should aim to decrease uncertainty during Covid-19. Moreover, since investment expenditures are affected severely during the outbreak, policymakers should impose investment subsidies. Originality/value This is the first study constructing a novel EUI which sensitively captures the critical economic/political events in Turkey. Moreover, we assess the impact of Covid-19-driven uncertainty on Turkish Economy with a SVAR model.
Citation - WoS: 12
Citation - Scopus: 12
Glass Ceiling in Academia Revisited: Evidence From the Higher Education System of Turkey
(Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2021) Bulbul, Serap; AGÜ, Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, Ekonomi Bölümü; Bulbul, Serap; 01. Abdullah Gül University; 03.02. Ekonomi; 03. Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi
Current study investigates the gender gap in academic promotions in Turkey taking a new perspective on the widely established existence of gender inequality in academia. The dataset includes the eight most-prominent research universities in Turkey and the nature of the 'glass ceiling' is explored by looking at the gendered distributions of: (1) academic seats -indicating academic performances, and (2) coauthorship patterns concerning genders. Findings suggest that there is gender disparity in academic performances as well as in academic promotions. In addition, gender is found to be a significant factor in explaining the current situation in academic ranks and subtle discrimination practices may exist instead of overt discrimination practices as it is also suggested in previous studies. In sum, results show two main points: (1) There is evidence of gender gap in academic promotions in Turkey, (2) A new variable -cross gender coauthorship- for glass ceiling research may provide further insight about the issue.
Citation - Scopus: 3
Subprime Mortgages and Lending Bubbles
(Bank Indonesia Institute, 2018) Polat, Ali Yavuz; 0000-0001-5647-5310; AGÜ, Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, Ekonomi Bölümü; Polat, Ali Yavuz; 01. Abdullah Gül University
We consider a model with two types of households: the poor with no initial endowment and the rich with positive endowment, and two types of assets: properties in a poor area and properties in a rich area. In the model, poor agents need credit to buy an asset, whereas the rich can draw from their endowment. We show that credit-fueled housing bubbles sometimes may improve welfare, making the poorer individuals better off. More precisely, there exist two types of equilibria in both property markets: one is a bubble equilibrium, and the other is an equilibrium where asset prices are stable over time. While the poor always obtain a positive surplus in the bubble equilibrium, this is not necessarily true for the rich. Our results suggest that there may be scope for market interventions aimed at sustaining the value of assets held by credit-constrained agents after the burst of a credit bubble. © 2025 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.

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