WoS İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu

Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12573/394

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Subject: search.filters.subject.ForecastingWoS Q: search.filters.wosQuartile.N/A

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Now showing 1 - 5 of 5
  • Conference Object
    Citation - WoS: 1
    Citation - Scopus: 8
    Short Term Electricity Load Forecasting: A Case Study of Electric Utility Market in Turkey
    (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2015-04) Ishik, Muhammed Yasin; Göze, Tolga; Ozcan, Ihsan; Güngör, Vehbi Çağrı; Aydin, Zafer; Yasin, Muhammed
    With the recent developments in energy sector, the pricing of electricity is now governed by the spot market where a variety of market mechanisms are effective. After the new legislation of market liberalization in Turkey, competition-based on hourly price has received a growing interest in the energy market, which necessitated generators and electric utility companies to add new dimensions to their scope of operation: short-term load and price forecasting. The field has several opportunities though not free from challenges. The dynamic behavior of the market price has caused the electric load to become variable and non-stationary. Furthermore, the number of nodes, in which the load must be predicted, is not constant anymore and can no longer be estimated by experts alone. In this competitive scenario, statistical forecasting methods that can automatically and accurately process thousands of data samples are essential. The purpose of this study is to demonstrate the importance of short-term load forecasting, how it has received a growing interest in Turkey and to propose an artificial neural network that can forecast the short term electricity load. Through detailed performance evaluations, we demonstrate that our forecasting method is capable of predicting the hourly load accurately. © 2017 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
  • Conference Object
    Citation - WoS: 7
    Citation - Scopus: 10
    PI-Controlled ANN-Based Energy Consumption Forecasting for Smart Grids
    (SciTePress, 2015) Gezer, Gülsüm; Tuna, Gürkan; Κogias, DImitrios G.; Gülez, Kayhan; Güngör, Vehbi Çağrı; Kogias, Dimitris
    Although Smart Grid (SG) transformation brings many advantages to electric utilities, the longstanding challenge for all them is to supply electricity at the lowest cost. In addition, currently, the electric utilities must comply with new expectations for their operations, and address new challenges such as energy efficiency regulations and guidelines, possibility of economic recessions, volatility of fuel prices, new user profiles and demands of regulators. In order to meet all these emerging economic and regulatory realities, the electric utilities operating SGs must be able to determine and meet load, implement new technologies that can effect energy sales and interact with their customers for their purchases of electricity. In this respect, load forecasting which has traditionally been done mostly at city or country level can address such issues vital to the electric utilities. In this paper, an artificial neural network based energy consumption forecasting system is proposed and the efficiency of the proposed system is shown with the results of a set of simulation studies. The proposed system can provide valuable inputs to smart grid applications. © 2022 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
  • Conference Object
    Citation - WoS: 16
    Citation - Scopus: 20
    Machine Learning Analysis of Inflammatory Bowel Disease-Associated Metagenomics Dataset
    (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2018-09) Hacilar, Hilal; Nalbantoĝlu, Özkan Ufuk; Bakir-Güngör, Burcu
    There is an ongoing interplay between humans and our microbial communities. The microorganisms living in our gut produce energy from our food, strengthen our immune system, break down foreign products, and release metabolites and hormones, which are significant for regulating our physiology. The shifts away from this 'healthy' gut microbiome is considered to be associated with many diseases. Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) including Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis, are gut related disorders affecting the intestinal tract. Although some metagenomics studies are conducted on IBD recently, our current understanding of the precise relationships between the human gut microbiome and IBD remains limited. In this regard, the use of state-of-the art machine learning approaches became popular to address a variety of questions like early diagnosis of certain diseases using human microbiota. In this study, we investigate which subset of gut microbiota are mostly associated with IBD and if disease-associated biomarkers can be detected via applying state-of-the art machine learning algorithms and proper feature selection methods. © 2019 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
  • Conference Object
    Citation - Scopus: 1
    Protein İkincil Yapı Tahmini için NR ve UniClust Veri Tabanlarının Karşılaştırılması
    (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2018-05) Aydin, Zafer; Kaynar, Oǧuz; Görmez, Yasin
    Three-dimensional structure prediction is one of the important problems in bioinformatics and theoretical chemistry. One of the most important steps in the three-dimensional structure prediction is the estimation of secondary structure. Improving the accuracy rate in protein secondary structure prediction depends on computed attributes as well as the classification algorithms. In multiple alignment methods, which are often used to extract an attribute, the calculated values differ according to the database used for the alignment. For this reason, it is important to use a suitable database against which the target proteins are aligned to compute profile feature vectors. In this study, 5 different datasets are generated for the CB513 benchmark with the aid of two different alignment methods and three different databases. The profile features are fed as input to a two-stage hybrid classifier. According to the experimental results, the highest accuracy rate is obtained when UniClust database is used at the first stage of HHBlits alignment to calculate PSSM values and NR database is used at the first stage of HHBlits alignment to calculate structural profile matrices. © 2018 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
  • Conference Object
    Citation - Scopus: 3
    Protein İkincil Yapı Tahmini Için Makine Öǧrenmesi Yöntemlerinin Karşılaştırılması
    (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2018-05) Aydin, Zafer; Kaynar, Oǧuz; Görmez, Yasin; Işik, Yunus Emre
    Three-dimensional structure prediction is one of the important problems in bioinformatics and theoretical chemistry. One of the most important steps in the three-dimensional structure prediction is the estimation of secondary structure. Due to rapidly growing databases and recent feature extraction methods datasets used for predicting secondary structure can potentially contain a large number of samples and dimensions. For this reason, it is important to use algorithms that are fast and accurate. In this study, various classification algorithms have been optimized for the second phase of a two-stage classifier on EVAset benchmark both in the original input space and in the space reduced using the information gain metric. The most accurate classifier is obtained as the support vector machine while the extreme learning machine is significantly faster in model training. © 2018 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.