WoS İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12573/394
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Article Citation - Scopus: 1Machine Learning and Scenario-Based Forecasting of Türkiye’s Renewable Energy Transition toward Net-Zero 2053(Elsevier Ltd, 2026-05) Sutcu, Muhammed; Yildiz, Baris; Sahin, Nurettin; Almomany, Abedalmuhdi; Gulbahar, Ibrahim TumayThe issue of global warming has been identified as one of the most critical challenges of the 21st century, with the consumption of fossil fuels being identified as a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions. In response to these challenges, countries worldwide are expediting their transition towards renewable energy sources to meet international climate commitments, such as the Paris Agreement, and to achieve long-term sustainability goals. Türkiye has established a target to achieve net-zero emissions by 2053. This objective is consistent with both the nation's domestic energy strategy and its international commitments. Nevertheless, the transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources is impeded by geographical, economic, and technological constraints. The present study aims to assess the capacity and efficiency of renewable energy in Türkiye with environmental protocols and future electricity demand projections. Electricity generation, transmission data, and national energy plans are used to identify future electricity generation and capacity trends. In the context of this study, a range of machine learning models is executed across diverse scenarios, yielding a series of outcomes. Consequently, the repercussions of regulatory measures and financial investments were examined, and prospective inferences were derived. The findings underscore the pivotal role of scenario-based modeling in formulating sustainable energy policies and directing investment decisions within the context of climate change mitigation.Article Forecasting the Consumer Price Index in Türkiye Using Machine Learning Models: A Comparative Analysis(Gazi Univ, 2025-09-01) Söylemez, İsmet; Ünlü, Ramazan; Nalici, Mehmet ErenThis study utilizes machine learning models to forecast Türkiye's Consumer Price Index (CPI), thereby addressing a critical gap in inflation prediction methodologies. The central research problem involves the forecasting of CPI in a volatile economic environment, which is essential for informed policymaking. The primary objective of this study is to evaluate the performance of three machine learning models, such as Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), and Support Vector Machine (SVM), in forecasting CPI over periods ranging from one to six months, utilizing data from 2012 to 2024. The study's unique contribution lies in the application of the \"SelectKBest\" method, which identifies the most relevant indices, thereby enhancing the efficiency of the models. An ensemble method, Averaging Voting, is also employed to combine the strengths of these models, producing more accurate and robust predictions. The findings indicate that while the RF model consistently generates the most accurate forecasts across all shifts, the SVM model demonstrates a particular strength in the domain of short-term predictions. The ensemble model demonstrates a substantial performance improvement, with a R2 value of 0.962 for one-month ahead of estimates and 0.956 for five-month forecasts. This combined approach has been shown to outperform individual models, offering a more reliable framework for CPI forecasting. The findings offer valuable insights for economic policymakers, enabling more precise and stable inflation predictions in Türkiye.Article Impact of Input Sequence Types on Healthcare Intrusion Prediction Models(IEEE-Inst Electrical Electronics Engineers Inc, 2025) Yusof, Mohammad Hafiz Mohd; Balfaqih, Mohammed; Khan, Md Munir Hayet; Almohammedi, Akram A.; Balfagih, ZainPrediction models are vital for sensing zero-day and even n-day cyberattacks, particularly in healthcare infrastructure. Most existing research focuses on developing classifiers also known as IDS to enhance detection and accuracy. However, predictive intrusion models for healthcare remain underexplored, with limited studies investigating the comparative performance of univariate and multivariate inputs against single-step and multi-step outputs in time series models. This study aims to address these gaps by evaluating the accuracy and error performance of selected predictive models across various input and output configurations. The methodology involves transforming input data sequences into univariate l* n and multivariate m * n formats, establishing single-step and multi-step splitting functions, and evaluating these configurations using the benchmark CIRA-CIC-DoHBrw-2020 dataset. Algorithms including Bidirectional LSTM, Stacked LSTM, Vanilla LSTM, Transformer Encoder-Decoder, Vector Output LSTM (GRU core), and CNN were applied, with results visualized to assess performance. The findings reveal that the Multivariate LSTM model, when trained on a sequence of multivariate inputs, demonstrates superior predictive performance, achieving low MAE error rates of 0.4% for single-step predictions and 0.1% for multi-step predictions. Additionally, GRU and Transformer models exhibit heightened sensitivity to specific input sequence configurations. In conclusion, our study demonstrates that Transformer Encoder-Decoder based prediction models exhibit exceptional prediction performance. This effectiveness is attributed to their ability to capture contextual and critical information from input sequences. These findings provide valuable insights for designing advanced intrusion prediction models, paving the way for improved prediction capabilities in future systems.Article AI-Enhanced PV Power Forecasting Using Cloud Thickness and Motion in Kayseri, Türkiye(Wiley, 2025-01) Yavuz, Levent; Onen, Ahmet; Awad, Ahmed; Ahshan, Razzaqul; Al-Badi, AbdullahThe incorporation of renewable energy in photovoltaic (PV) systems has made significant progress. The inherent intermittency nature of PV generation, nevertheless poses an obstacle to accurate energy forecasting. Historical PV production plus meteorological data such as temperature, humidity, and atmospheric pressure are largely utilized in present methods of forecasting. However, cloud thickness and dynamics-integrated system, has not been investigated and tested in real-world examples yet.This research seeks to fill this gap in research through the development of a new AI-based PV forecasting model that incorporates cloud thickness, cloud motion, and solar position into the forecasting model. Cloud properties and their impact on solar radiation are computed through a deep learning-based panel-shadowing model. For cloud movement forecasting, a gated recurrent unit (GRU) is used, while multiple convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are used for estimating cloud thickness. These outcomes are then integrated with measurements from environmental sensors to improve the accuracy of the predictions.The system was implemented and tested at Abdullah G & uuml;l University and exhibited a remarkable improvement in forecasting accuracy compared to current models. The results prove that cloud motion and thickness improve the accuracy of PV predictions, which is important for energy market stability and power grid operations.